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AHT: 00CSV

26 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.1%
Morton
33.1%
Draw
36.8%
Raith Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Morton

vs
1.18

Raith Rvs

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.5%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).