Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Mirandes
29.7%
Draw
23.3%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Mirandes
vs
0.76
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).