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17 May 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.5%
Angers
25.0%
Draw
41.6%
Dunkerque

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Angers

vs
1.32

Dunkerque

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-0
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).