Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.5%
Troyes
15.0%
Draw
71.5%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Troyes
vs
2.82
Marseille
Markets
BTTS65.1%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.576.2%
Over 3.556.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.6%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
7.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-1
5.9%
1-4
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-4
4.8%
2-3
4.8%
2-1
3.6%
2-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).