Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.0%
Barcelona
11.4%
Draw
5.6%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Barcelona
vs
0.71
Eibar
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.0%
2-0
11.0%
4-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.3%
5-0
5.0%
5-1
3.6%
3-2
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).