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AHT: 00CSV

03 Oct 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.5%
Verona
24.3%
Draw
54.1%
Sassuolo

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Verona

vs
1.63

Sassuolo

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.9%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).