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DHT: 01CSV

19 Aug 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.1%
Leicester
25.3%
Draw
56.5%
Tottenham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Leicester

vs
1.87

Tottenham

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
7.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-3
3.1%
0-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).