Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Sudtirol
31.1%
Draw
21.4%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Sudtirol
vs
0.79
Benevento
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
13.5%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).