Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Ferrol
25.3%
Draw
60.1%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Ferrol
vs
1.54
Malaga
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.1%
0-2
13.8%
0-0
11.6%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
0-4
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
2-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).