Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Southend
27.9%
Draw
23.3%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Southend
vs
0.79
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).