Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.1%
Crotone
25.8%
Draw
19.2%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Crotone
vs
0.94
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).