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06 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.3%
Bradford
21.8%
Draw
17.9%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Bradford

vs
0.79

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.0%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).