Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.8%
Nantes
19.1%
Draw
69.1%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Nantes
vs
2.03
Aris
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.2%
1-1
9.0%
0-0
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
1-0
4.8%
0-4
4.7%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).