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03 Feb 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.3%
Kaiserslautern
21.9%
Draw
15.8%
Wurzburger Kickers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.12

Kaiserslautern

vs
0.99

Wurzburger Kickers

Markets

BTTS56.3%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.5%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).