Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Barnsley
29.6%
Draw
21.4%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Barnsley
vs
0.81
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).