Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.6%
Gil Vicente
23.0%
Draw
14.4%
Alverca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Gil Vicente
vs
0.79
Alverca
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.7%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).