Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Salernitana
16.0%
Draw
75.3%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Salernitana
vs
2.33
Roma
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.8%
0-1
12.0%
0-3
10.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.6%
1-3
7.0%
0-4
6.2%
0-0
4.9%
1-4
4.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
0-5
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).