Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Eastleigh
25.6%
Draw
29.2%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Eastleigh
vs
1.33
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).