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21 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.2%
Grimsby
25.1%
Draw
42.7%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Grimsby

vs
1.42

Bromley

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).