Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Ulm
28.1%
Draw
40.7%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Ulm
vs
1.45
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).