Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Como
22.8%
Draw
17.3%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Como
vs
0.82
Bologna
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).