Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.0%
Birmingham
22.0%
Draw
11.0%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Birmingham
vs
0.66
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
1-0
13.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).