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28 Apr 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.3%
Granada
24.6%
Draw
53.1%
Osasuna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Granada

vs
1.72

Osasuna

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).