Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Chaves
27.3%
Draw
28.3%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Chaves
vs
0.95
Boavista
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).