Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Sunderland
30.2%
Draw
55.1%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Sunderland
vs
1.43
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
0-0
14.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
6.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
2.6%
2-0
2.5%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).