Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Doncaster
25.8%
Draw
38.9%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Doncaster
vs
1.21
Exeter
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).