Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Saint-Étienne
26.6%
Draw
34.4%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Saint-Étienne
vs
1.18
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).