Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Girona
25.7%
Draw
28.3%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Girona
vs
1.10
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).