Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.9%
Mjällby
10.9%
Draw
3.2%
Värnamo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.92
Mjällby
vs
0.47
Värnamo
Markets
BTTS36.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
3-0
13.9%
4-0
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
5-0
5.9%
1-1
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).