Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Osasuna
23.5%
Draw
14.7%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Osasuna
vs
0.74
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).