Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Sabadell
28.3%
Draw
27.8%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Sabadell
vs
0.94
Logrones
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).