Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
St. Gallen
28.3%
Draw
43.3%
Thun
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
St. Gallen
vs
1.63
Thun
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.0%
1-0
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).