Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Schalke 04
28.9%
Draw
36.6%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Schalke 04
vs
1.31
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).