Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Wigan
27.2%
Draw
41.0%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Wigan
vs
1.16
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).