Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Crewe
22.8%
Draw
18.4%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Crewe
vs
0.83
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).