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AHT: 01CSV

03 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Wigan

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.2%
Peterboro
22.3%
Draw
21.5%
Wigan

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Peterboro

vs
0.91

Wigan

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).