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AHT: 01CSV

05 Feb 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.7%
Braunschweig
25.1%
Draw
55.2%
St Pauli

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Braunschweig

vs
1.80

St Pauli

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
0-0
7.1%
1-3
5.9%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
1-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.0%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).