Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Rotherham
24.6%
Draw
59.4%
Derby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Rotherham
vs
1.77
Derby
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).