Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Getafe
31.0%
Draw
28.9%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Getafe
vs
0.90
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
13.6%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).