Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Villarreal B
26.1%
Draw
24.9%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Villarreal B
vs
0.97
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).