Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Birmingham
29.0%
Draw
24.9%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Birmingham
vs
0.98
West Brom
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).