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02 Mar 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.0%
Beerschot VA
25.4%
Draw
50.6%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Beerschot VA

vs
1.69

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS54.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).