Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Napoli
22.0%
Draw
17.4%
Udinese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Napoli
vs
0.87
Udinese
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).