Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Sarpsborg 08
24.7%
Draw
27.9%
KFUM
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Sarpsborg 08
vs
1.15
KFUM
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).