Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.8%
Wolves
26.5%
Draw
54.7%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Wolves
vs
1.76
Brentford
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-2
10.2%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.0%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).