Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.5%
Maritimo
11.7%
Draw
82.8%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Maritimo
vs
2.70
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.2%
0-3
12.7%
0-1
10.8%
0-4
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
1-3
7.0%
1-1
5.5%
1-4
4.7%
0-5
4.6%
0-0
3.6%
1-5
2.5%
1-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).