Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Liverpool
26.7%
Draw
39.1%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Liverpool
vs
1.62
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS63.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).