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HHT: 00CSV

26 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.2%
Nancy
29.4%
Draw
36.4%
Ajaccio

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Nancy

vs
0.98

Ajaccio

Markets

BTTS37.0%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.5%
1-0
14.8%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).