Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.3%
Mansfield
24.9%
Draw
25.8%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Mansfield
vs
1.00
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).