Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Eibar
29.4%
Draw
30.8%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Eibar
vs
1.04
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).